题目：When The Eyes Are Closed: Monitoring Failure and Strategic Emissions

主讲人：刘梦迪，对外经济贸易大学

时间：2024年11月14日（星期四）下午13:30-15:00

地点：暨南大学（石牌校区）中惠楼106会议室

主讲人简介:

刘梦迪，对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院副教授，博士生导师，长期从事环境治理与公共政策相关的研究，主持国家自然科学基金优秀青年基金等3项国家自然科学基金项目。研究成果发表于American Economic Review （AER）、American Journal of Political Science （AJPS）、Journal of Development Economics（JDE）、Journal of Policy Analysis and Management（JPAM）、Journal of Environmental Economics and Management（JEEM）等高水平国际学术期刊。其研究成果获得美国政治科学协会（APSA）2020年度Evan Ringquist最佳论文奖等奖项。

Abstract:

This paper documents the strategic response from polluters towards China’s automated air quality monitoring networks. Automatic environmental monitoring devices are susceptible to temporary outrages due to maintenance or power issues. Using high-frequency, factory-level daily emission data from major industrial polluters in China, we find strong evidence that the SO2 emissions from polluters escalate by 7%-9% on days when nearby air quality monitoring stations fail to report data. The effect lessens with the growing distance between the polluter and the monitoring station. We also find heterogeneous responses among polluters with differing industrial types and firm ownerships, with firms in heavily regulated sectors or non-SOEs more likely to engage in strategic actions. In addition, we test for evidence of interference in monitoring operations by local regulators. Together, the results suggest that under a sequential process with imperfect information, monitoring failures serve as signals that incentivize evasive discharge behavior within the top-down regulatory framework.